Trust or censorship

After the flop, the catastrophe. Last Sunday, Alberto Núñez Feijóo failed to orchestrate a decisive moment in Madrid's Plaza de España, and the following day , the demonstration that was supposed to have turned Spanish politics upside down didn't even appear on the front page of ABC . Who remembers that demonstration today? With 150,000 real people in Plaza de España, Pedro Sánchez would be dead today.

Things have turned out differently. It's the Civil Guard that has just turned the PSOE upside down. The announced UCO report is the one that could take down Sánchez, depending on how the judicial investigation unfolds and the clinking of the billiard balls on the table.

There are only two ways out to avoid the quagmire: a vote of confidence or a motion of censure.

The government was unaware of the scope of that investigation. This is one of the few truths we can be certain of today: the independence of the judicial police from the executive branch. This hasn't always been the case. A few years ago, the Ministry of the Interior allegedly used the police to try to stop the investigation into a serious corruption case affecting the Popular Party. The scandalous Kitchen case will go to trial in a year, and we still don't know who Mr. Rajoy was who appeared on the pages of a parallel accounting system.

The report fulminates against the Socialist Party's organizational secretariat and could sweep away Sánchez, turning the PSOE into the minor and subordinate force of Spain's battered two-party system for many years. With Kitchen in tow, and with thirty pieces of the Gürtel case still unfinished, the Popular Party could realize its most ambitious dream: capturing the PSOE for an extended period and turning it into its servant for strategic matters. A policy of national consensus while Europe re-arms and rethinks the dimensions of the welfare state. A policy of a central bloc without peripheral dependencies. Eduardo Madina is already warming up.

This week has been hectic. On Sunday, the flop in Plaza de España. On Monday, Supreme Court Judge Ángel Hurtado requests the opening of a trial against the Attorney General, Álvaro García Ortiz , for alleged disclosure of secrets. On Tuesday, the UCO searched the home of José Luis Ábalos and the headquarters of several construction companies . On Wednesday night, the first leak of the UCO report . On Thursday, political shock, with Sánchez appearing at the PSOE headquarters apologizing to the Spanish people for the misdeeds of his two organizing secretaries. Distraught. Visibly shaken. A key judicial moment with the Attorney General in a KO. In a month, the Constitutional Court must issue a ruling on the Amnesty Law . Connect the dots and you'll understand something.

Keep connecting the dots. The PP needs Sánchez to fall before the Kitchen trial begins in May 2026. If the PSOE organizational secretary scandal overlaps with that trial, the reputations of both systemic parties could suffer a serious setback in the final phase of the legislature, with only one winner: the far right.

A vote of confidence or a vote of no confidence. There may be no other way out. Feijóo doesn't want to present a vote of no confidence . He doesn't want to hand Sánchez a parliamentary victory. He wants to roast him. The PP claims to have polls that place them on the threshold of 150 seats.

A motion of no confidence. Sánchez didn't raise it yesterday. He's in shock. Yesterday, he forced Cerdán's resignation— there was some initial resistance from the person concerned —but there's one question that still remains unanswered: Where did the money paid by Acciona and other construction companies go? Always the same. Always the same. Always the same.