Political polls show M5S and AVS gaining ground: their best results since the 2024 European elections.
As the summer break approaches, the new Supermedia Agi/Youtrend survey—a weighted average of national polls on voting intentions conducted between July 10th and 23rd—shows a relatively stable, yet already relatively uneventful, picture of voting intentions.
Generally speaking, three medium-term trends can be observed: the substantial stability of the Brothers of Italy party in first place, slightly below 30%; the slight—almost imperceptible—dip in the Democratic Party, which fell from 23% in mid-June to just over 22%; and the vitality of other opposition forces such as the Five Star Movement, Avs, and Action, which are recording their best results since last year's European elections.
The Prime Minister's party, FdI, recorded a slight increase (+0.3%), reaching 29.4%, followed by the Democrats at 22.2% (-0.1%). Also on the podium is Giuseppe Conte 's Movement, during the days of the investigation involving Matteo Ricci, the center-left governor's candidate for the Marche region. The Five Star Movement is taking its time and is keeping its balance. It first wants to see the paperwork before reaffirming its support for the former Democratic Party mayor of Pisaro, who is now running against the outgoing FdI governor, Francesco Acquaroli .
Forza Italia remained practically stable at 9% and is struggling with internal tensions within the coalition, such as the ius scholae which the League does not like and which instead stands at 8.3 (-0.2).
The Green and Left Alliance performed well, reaching almost 7% (+0.5%): it is the highest result recorded after the European elections of June 2024.
The Supermedia listsFDI 29.4 (+0.3)
PD 22.2 (-0.1)
M5S 12.7 (=)
Forza Italia 9.0 (+0.1)
League 8.3 (-0.2)
Greens/Left 6.9 (+0.5)
Action 3.5 (+0.2)
Italia Viva 2.2 (+0.1)
+Europe 1.9 (+0.1)
We Moderates 0.7 (-0.2)
The Supermedia coalitions 2022Center-right 47.4 (=)
Center-left 31.1 (+0.5)
M5S 12.7 (=)
Third Pole 5.7 (+0.4)
Other 3.2 (-0.8)
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