New poll in the province: how the Libertarians vs. K fight is going and key data by electoral district

While Peronism and the right wing separately settle their bitter internal disputes in the Province, a new poll adds tension to the country's most heated election . The local election is scheduled for September 7th and the national election is scheduled for October 26th. The forecast is extremely close, with a mere six-tenths difference.

The study that brings this hypothesis is from CB Consultora Opinión Pública , a firm based in Córdoba that became known for creating a ranking of governors in early 2022.

This weekend, the polling firm led by analyst Cristian Buttié presented a survey of 1,098 cases in Buenos Aires province, interviewed online between May 23 and 27, with a margin of error of +/- 3%.

Clarín has already released part of the survey, which measured the images of key leaders and the electoral thresholds and thresholds of potential candidates . Among other things, it highlighted a strong rejection of Cristina Kirchner, Sergio Massa, and Karina Milei .

"If the legislative elections for the province of Buenos Aires were held tomorrow, which space would you vote for? " asks one of the CB panels. And there's complete parity.

Libertad Avanza leads with 31.6%, followed by Kirchnerism with 31%. Statistically, it's a "technical tie."

But it's also interesting to analyze the two forces below. Non-K Peronism has 7.1% , and PRO , 6.4% . These are two spaces that could be absorbed by the two above. Parity would follow.

Below they complete: Left 3.6% , UCR 2.1% , Blank 2.9 % and Don't know 15.3% .

Finally, there is perhaps the most interesting table in the entire report. It breaks down the results by electoral district . And it casts doubt on one hypothesis : that Kirchnerism will comfortably win the third electoral district, which includes the crucial municipality of La Matanza.

In CB 's numbers, Kirchnerism appears to be ahead in that region, but by just a few points: 33.1% versus 30.5% for La Libertad Avanza.

In the First Section , however, the libertarians lead , although also by a narrow margin: 32.7% against 31.6% for the Ks. In "the rest" , the libertarian advantage is greater: 32.8% to 27.1% .

As this newspaper always clarifies, these are premature assessments, as neither the alliances nor the candidates have been confirmed. In Peronism, for example, it will be decisive if, as she has been threatening, Cristina runs for the Third Section.