Poles have lost confidence in Szymon Hołownia. Who do they trust? New poll

Hołownia, which had a trust rating of 54.4% in January 2024, is trusted by only 18.5% of respondents in the July IBRiS trust ranking, recording a month-on-month decline of 9 percentage points. In terms of trust, Hołownia achieved its worst result since being included in the IBRiS ranking for Onet (it debuted in December 2019, when it was trusted by 20.2% of respondents).

The decline in trust in Hołownia coincides with the controversial meeting between the Speaker of the Sejm and Jarosław Kaczyński at the private apartment of PiS MEP Adam Bielan, and with Hołownia's statement in an interview with Polsat News that he had been encouraged to take actions that amounted to a coup d'état in connection with Karol Nawrocki's swearing-in as president, scheduled for August 6. In this latter case, Hołownia is expected to be questioned by the prosecutor's office – the Speaker of the Sejm did not reveal who encouraged him to carry out the coup, although the mere preparation for such an attack is a crime under the Penal Code.

The declining trust in Hołownia coincides with Poland 2050's low poll ratings. In the latest IBRiS survey for "Rzeczpospolita," Hołownia's party receives 2.8% of the vote, which would put it outside the Sejm.

The leader in the trust rankings is Karol Nawrocki, trusted by 46.8% of respondents (an increase of 4.9 percentage points compared to June). Nawrocki is distrusted by 46.2% of respondents, and 6.6% declare neutrality towards the president-elect.

Second place in the trust ranking is occupied by Minister of Foreign Affairs Radosław Sikorski, who is trusted by 42.2% of respondents (a drop of 1 percentage point). The newly appointed deputy prime minister is distrusted by 40.6% of respondents, while 15.8% remain neutral towards him.

Third place went to Rafał Trzaskowski, the mayor of Warsaw and former Civic Coalition (KO) presidential candidate. Trzaskowski is trusted by 40.5% of respondents (a drop of 1.2 percentage points), distrusted by 49.2%, and neutral towards him by 9.4%.

Krzysztof Bosak, Deputy Speaker of the Sejm and leader of the Confederation, has moved up to fourth place in the ranking, with 38.1% of respondents trusting him. Bosak gains 3 percentage points in trust, ahead of Mateusz Morawiecki (37%), President Andrzej Duda (36.9%), Deputy Speaker of the Senate Magdalena Biejat (35.4%), Sławomir Mentzen, leader of the New Hope party and the second-place Confederation leader (35.2%), and Prime Minister Donald Tusk (35.1%).

Hołownia leads the trust rankings, with 62.9% of respondents distrusting him. Hołownia is ahead of Jarosław Kaczyński (61.6% of respondents distrust him) and Donald Tusk (56.2%).

The survey was conducted between July 25 and 27 on a nationwide sample of 1,100 people. The survey was conducted by telephone using standardized computer-assisted interviewing (CATI).