Cristina Kirchner arrested: How are the markets reacting?

The Supreme Court 's ruling, which could disqualify Cristina Kirchner from running in the legislative elections, was enthusiastically received by key sectors of the financial market , although experts insist that the economic direction still depends, to a greater extent, on the success or failure of the government's plan .
Among the analysts consulted, there is a clear consensus: the departure of Kirchnerism 's leading figure represents a symbolic relief, but it is no guarantee of improvement in economic indicators.
"For investors , CFK's image has always been a risk factor. Her possible withdrawal from active politics creates a more favorable climate, although attention remains focused on the current economic program," explained Dante Ruggieri , partner at AT Inversiones.
Along the same lines, reported the NA news agency, Camilo Tiscornia , director of C&T Asesores, opined that "Kirchnerism is perceived as the riskiest sector within the Argentine political spectrum, and Cristina is its symbol. The fact that justice is moving against her is a message that the market interprets as positive ."
However, not everyone shares this unbridled enthusiasm. Javier Timerman , economist and partner at Adcap Grupo Financiero, was blunt: "The market isn't reacting solely to a court ruling. Its main concern is whether Milei can sustain her plan without social unrest or political impediment."
For his part, Fausto Spotorno , of OJF & Asociados, was more skeptical about the immediate impact: "The news may marginally improve the perception of country risk , but Argentina remains a highly volatile area, and the world is not willing to take risks without clear institutional and macroeconomic certainties."
Also from the financial sector, Juan Carlos Barboza , Research Manager at Mariva, considered that the ruling could reduce pressure on sovereign bonds and favor an improvement in the yield curve, although he qualified: "Everything will depend on whether the Government manages to consolidate fiscal credibility ."
Meanwhile, on social media, economist Lucas Llach celebrated the news with a political focus: “This raises the bar a bit. But for real change, we also need to see corrupt businessmen and unionists behind bars. Only in this way can serious capitalism be built.”
In short, although the Court's ruling was well received in the Buenos Aires City , specialists agree that there are no judicial miracles that can cure an economy with a chronic deficit , structural inflation, and lack of credit.
The market wants to see political stability , clear signs that the adjustment won't go off track, and, above all, results: a stable dollar , falling interest rates, fiscal balance, and sustained growth. On that playing field, Cristina's departure may be just another piece... but it's not the final play.
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