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Probability of recession increases in the US due to tariffs

Probability of recession increases in the US due to tariffs

03 MIN 00 SEC

Charlene Dominguez

Mexico City (July 8, 2025) - 10:34 a.m.

US GDP growth for 2025 is expected to be in the range of 0.9 to 1.0 percent.

US GDP growth for 2025 is expected to be in the range of 0.9 to 1.0 percent. Credit: AFP

U.S. tariffs will be a more significant drag on economic activity in the second half of 2025, increasing the likelihood of a recession in the United States , UBS Investment Bank analysts warned.

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