GDP growth reported in Mexico, this is the figure

He Mexican GDP grew 0.2% in the first three months of 2025 , despite warnings of recession due to US trade uncertainty, the first revealed this Wednesday Timely estimate from the National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) .

The climb, above market expectations , occurred thanks to an 8.1% rebound in the agricultural sector, while services remained unchanged, detailed Inegi in its report.

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On the other hand, Mexican GDP increased by 0.8% year-on-year from January to March , according to original figures from the autonomous institute, thus resuming an upward trend after its 0.6% contraction from October to December.

This growth was the result of annual increases in primary (6.4%) and tertiary (1.5%) activities.

The first-quarter increase comes after 1.5% GDP growth in 2024 , although the economy has contracted in the last three months, in the face of the uncertainty created by the election of Donald Trump in the United States in November.

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The data from Mexico contrasted with that of the United States , where more than 84% of Mexican exports arrive: this Wednesday it was revealed that US GDP fell 0.3% at an annualized rate This represents the first negative quarterly figure since 2022 and the first to incorporate the start of the Trump presidency.

Trump's tariffs economic alerts have been triggered in Mexico , where last week, the financial group Citi estimated that the country had entered a technical recession because I expected a contraction in the first quarter, which did not materialize .

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In addition, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicted last week a 0.3% contraction of Mexico's GDP for this year The World Bank projected a 0% recession, and the Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) cut its outlook to 0.3% on Tuesday, only above Cuba, Haiti, and Venezuela.

Mexico is vulnerable to the US president's tariffs. because exports to that country represent nearly 26% of GDP, according to Banco Base.

But the President, Claudia Sheinbaum, has defended the forecasts of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit , which lowered its official estimate of GDP growth for 2025 to 1.9% on April 1, from a previous estimate of 2.5%, but still above market expectations.

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